History is littered with scientific ideas that sounded ridiculous, even to experts, before reality caught up. From wild forecasts about space travel to theories that rewrote maps and medical textbooks ...

Prediction markets are having a moment. But what are they actually good for? Economist Robin Hanson has been thinking about this for decades. Long before betting markets went mainstream, he argued ...

The new CFTC chair, Mike Selig, has announced a review and modernization of financial market regulation, including embracing prediction markets. The new Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading ...

Prediction market platform Kalshi is surging so much in Trump's second term, that it's prompted something of an arms race: Robinhood, Coinbase, FanDuel and DraftKings have all announced rival services ...